I live in Washington state and its legalized here by authorized smoke shops. Its been a couple of years and there has been no effort to role it back largely because its a nice cash cow for the city, county, and state. Kinda hard to get rid of something that generates a lot tax revenue from luxury type products (tabaco, Alcohol, gambling, etc)
I'd love to see the statistic on how many insurance claims Trump has filed over the years, and the amounts. That is another reason Trump does not want his tax return made public; doesn't want the public to see how much money he has made via insurance claims. Especially when he takes out multi-million $$ policy only 2-3 months before a Trump business\property burns to the ground.
Besides, we can't expect a up scale con man to be slipping and falling in grocery stores to make a decent living. He's been on TV; it would not be dignified to be suing mini-marts or fast food restaurants. He has an image of being an Zillionaire to maintain. ;)
USA Today, May 10, 2019: Mike Pence: Why his role as Trump's evangelical ambassador is facing new pushback
Maybe Trump got lucky when he chose Pence, or maybe Trump could see the corruption and ambition in Pence; someone who would sell his soul to be VP.
My perception of Pence is that he, like Barr, sees Trump for the con man that Trump always has been, and Pence feeds into Trump ego to appease Trump's need to have the illusion that other powerful men respect him (nobody does). But, IMO, Pence goes to bed at night praying that Trump's tax returns get released which would cause Trump to resign the presidency before the 2020 election, thus handing over presidency and 2020 Republican nomination to Pence.... That is Pence's dream, because he gets it all without having to back stab anybody. And of course in Pence's perfect scenario, he goes on to win the 2020 election in a landslide, and if he needs to, he pardons Donald Trump after he becomes president.
Dutch Wrote: No Schmidt this is not vetting at all!!!!!. Real vetting is something what Mueller did, even that was lousy. As far as I've seen none of the candidates has got what it takes. I've not heard from anyone anything about foreign policies, let alone what they think about Putin, Kim, Netanyahoo etc. Let alone the money spent on our war machine as well our deficit etc. Real vetting, then you do an "real" background check as well how they got their money (rich parents?) as well their "motivations" (the real one, like "ego", fame, enrichment etc.) Also what do they know about the world around this island and their way of governing; what do they know about our past "wars" and history of the world (not what they teach here) (the why and how), Stalin, Napoleon, Cote d'Ivoire? etc etc. What do they know about deficits, trade, human interface, negotiation (how to do it), international law, customs (way of life) of other countries, mentality, adaption to "life" on this planet in all kinds of situations, stamina, don't believe in fantasy ( like living on Mars, or Jesus things), lives in the "reality" of poor and rich and how to manage such, etc etc. Looking at all of this then I must say Obama had most of these qualities.
I am not sure how you get to a granular level of vetting without making it a legally required 1000+ topic process. Example. Have 100 top level topics, with each topic having 100 sub level topics, and each sub level having 100 more sub-sub-level topics. Legally mandating each candidate to answer every question.
It is true our vetting process is nearly 100% political. The top 10 issues come and go every 4 years. There is no mandate that any candidate have any qualifications beyond being born in the US (there may be a couple other restrictions). Trump took a big gamble by not releasing his tax returns. I would argue its easy to take big risks when any person more-or-less only wants to win on his terms, and considers loosing to be a win-win anyway. Trump may have liked the romantic "idea" of being president and beating Hillary Clinton, but deep deep down Donald Trump would rather have lost if he could have completed deal that allowed him to build Trump Towers Russia, and several more around the world.
The whole "Run for president campaign" was a con from the start, that is why Trump felt 100% free to say\do extreme things on the campaign trail. He wanted the media exposure and world wide attention to promote his brand "Trump" He wanted Nike to come to him and offer him a deal to pay him millions per year to have a line of "Trump" shoes. He wanted Coke or Pepsi to create a Trump line of soft drinks paying him 1 cent per ounce in licencing fees that would net him 10s of millions per year. The list of possible Trump products is endless, and all Trump has to do is be the front man; get up, go on TV shows and do media interviews, free to make up outrageous stories that are total fiction. Screw being president, that is hard work for the primary purpose of helping other people. Trump has never done anything like that in his life and is completely counter to his self-serving personality. If its not about him, its not even worth $1. Having Trump as president is as smart as having a wolf supervise a chicken farm.
He has finally announced he is running for president.
He is someone that is likely to rise near the top of the Democratic race, and IMO, has above average chance of getting the nomination. On the national stage he likely to attract a very large percentage of Democratic\Republican swing voters. He is a very popular Democratic governor in the Republican state of Montana. Much like Joe Biden, Steve Bullock knows how to talk to working class Republicans in a way they are able to relate too. Given his track record in Montana, he is known for actually getting things accomplished.
Using a horse race analogy, he is last out of gate, significantly behind the the top three. But the top three have yet to reach the first turn, with 90% of the race yet to go. Plenty of time for everybody else reach the finishing line in first place. Several will drop out before they even reach the final stretch this time next year (Spring of 2020).
The way I perceive things, its the swing voter that will decide the election. That includes Democratic swing voters who voted for Trump (or they did not vote) because they did not like Hillary Clinton. There are millions of Republican voters who think Trump is a bad president; give them a moderate Democrat that is not campaigning to take their guns away, there is good chance they will vote Trump out office. I truly believe there is a silent Republican majority that understand Trump is a con man, and would love to replace him with just about anybody, but they will draw the line at a far left candidate that they perceive is another Hillary Clinton.
No doubt that the word has gotten around that Mar-A-Largo is the place to go to pay for off-the-record to access Donald Trump. Love to see how much these people are spending at Mar-A-Largo. Maybe they only spend a few hundred thousand for a few nights in the premiere suites, but upon check out they give Mar-A-Largo an extremely large sum of money (millions) as a "tip" for the great service provided during their stay, where they just happen to meet Donald Trump privately for half hour.
that guy in AZ Wrote:
Missouri is the latest state to pass a restrictive abortion bill.
Early Thursday morning — just hours before a Friday deadline to pass legislation — Missouri’s Republican-controlled Senate voted 24-10 to pass the bill, which would ban abortions at eight weeks of pregnancy, according to the Associated Press. The bill is headed to the Republican-controlled House for approval and, if it passes, it will be sent to Republican Gov. Mike Parson for signing.
Since Governor Parson wants to make Missouri the most Pro-Life state in the country, he'll probably sign it soon.
The states appear to be doing this as unified effort so that the Supreme Court is more likely perceive this as a national mandate because so many states are passing laws the block women from getting an abortion. Also, they perceive the timing is right with Trump as president which suggests it a good time to push for extreme actions.
Also, they are betting that Trump will push hard to get the Supreme Court to over turn Roe V Wade. It is considered to undue influence for the President to directly lobby the Supreme Court, but Trump loves to break boundaries, so its a fair bet that Trump will go as far to directly meet with, or call, Supreme Court justices, and discuss the issue with them. It i seasy to imagine trump tweeting: "I spoke with a couple of Supreme Court justices today, and they are onboard with over turning Roe V. Wade"..... Of course such a tweet would be highly misleading about any conversation he might have had, but Trump does not care, he wants to be perceived as being the puppet master over everything.
Trump would love to go down in history as the president who overturned Roe v. Wade. What is so, so, ironic is that Trump does not give a flying fuck about abortion as mornal issue. He simply wants to be famous for getting it over turned. All the pro\cons of the issues are wasted on him. It simply comes down to "Did I win?".
Alabama voted for the worst abortion bill last night; doctors who perform abortions get up to 99 years in jail. No exceptions for rape or incest, even miscarriages are an "crime".
The law was intentionally written to be illegal and over the top extreme. Their goal is to get the Supreme Court to take up the case and, they hope, to overturn Roe V. Wade.
If it has not been already, a court will rule the law to be unconstitutional, triggering the appeals process. This may backfire on them because the law is so clearly unconstitutional that the Supreme Court my choose not to even review the case, thus the lower court ruling will stand.
There is multiple ways Trump is likely to handle it, and it depend on circumstances right before and after the election.
My best guess is that trump would refuse to concede right up, and even past the inauguration day, but ultimately leave the White House under protest that the election was corrupt, stolen from him by the Deep State that plotted against him, and rigged the election.
He might leave the White House, but he won't ever concede the election. After leaving the White House, Trump is likely to claim he remains the official president of the US. Trump love to be the victim, to create the illusion that he is the under-dog that has been victimized by a corrupt system. He want to be perceived as Robin Hood, the man who exposes and defeats corruption (The Deep State). My bet, he wants to leave office under controversy, so he can be on the outside, claiming he is the true president that was forced out off office at gun point by storm troopers under the control of the Deep State.... He might go as far as to sue the US government for wrongful job termination, claim the US government did not investigate election fraud that caused him to loose.
For as long as Trump is alive, he will also be doing and saying things to keep the spot light on himself. As president, he is on the world biggest stage with the biggest audience. He will never be satisfied with having to play smaller audience once he the country, the media, and rest of world move beyond him.
This question has actually been discussed as real possbility given Donald Trump tendency exceed legal\ethical boundaries that never have been tested and\or there no laws.
Scenario: Trump looses in the 2020, but refuses to concede the 2020 election. Not only that, refuses any Supreme Court decision that might follow. He claims the entire 2020 election is invalid because some fictitious reason, claiming he shall remain president until 2024 or demands full do-over election in all 50 states.
Question: How do you think this would play out if Trump refused to hand over the presidency to someone who has been legitimately elected?
On the face of it it might be absurd scenario that never will happen, but Donald Trump loves to game our government and political system; refusing to leave office is something well within his normal range of extreme tactics he loves to try to achieve his personal agenda. For example #1, he might refuse to leave office, but then back down a few days later if it becomes obvious to him that he will be quickly arrested and charged with federal crimes because nobody is supporting him. Example #2, if his refusal to concede the election causes nothing but chaos\confusion and no immediate action is taken to remove him from office, he could play it out for months because there is no unified agreement on how the problem should be handled. Imagine what would happen if we had no official president for several months, or two people claiming to be officially elected. One thing I'm certain of, Trump would love every single moment of it.