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Presidential polls

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    As late as November 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton still was leading Donald Trump in the MAJORITY of the polls. Real Clear Politics took an average of all state and national polls, and found that she still had an edge of 47.5% to 45.3% - and this was AFTER James Comey briefly reopened the e-mail "scandal".

    https://www.newsweek.com/presidential-election-polls-november-1-clinton-trump-515705

    The final vote tally gave he 65,853,424 votes, while Trump got 62,984,828.

    Overall, Hillary got 48.2% of the vote, and Trump got 46.1%, very close to the numbers in the last polls before the election. The difference, of course, was the electoral college. Trump got 303 electoral votes and Hillary got 235, a difference of 68 votes.

    https://images.search.yahoo.com/yhs/search?p=electoral+votes+by+state&fr=yhs-sz-001&hspart=sz&hsimp=yhs-001&imgurl=https%3A%2F%2Fnyoobserver.files.wordpress.com%2F2016%2F11%2Felectoral-college-map-e1478269427997.png%3Fquality%3D80%26strip#id=4&iurl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.270towin.com%2Fuploads%2Fpop_weighted_ev_map.png&action=click

    The voting totals in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan were all extremely close. Since these 4 states have a total of 79 electoral votes, Clinton's electoral college victory was certainly within grasp. Florida was also close, and the state's 33 electoral votes would have cemented her victory. In Florida, Trump got 49% of the vote, and Hillary got 48%.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37889032

    Trump has been obsessed with ratings ever since the premier of "The Apprentice" years ago. As a result, he just fired 3 of his 5 internal pollsters because he did not like the results of the 17 states polls that they had conducted in March. In those polls, Trump trailed Biden by significant amounts in 11 states, including 3 states that he won in 2016.

    https://www.gq.com/story/trump-campaign-fires-pollsters

    Even more alarming for Trump is the fact that yesterday's FOX poll shows him trailing Biden, Sanders, Warren, Harris, and Buttigieg, which means he's probably foaming at the mouth right now and screaming at his television.

    See the source image

    Admittedly, the election is still a long ways away, but I REALLY like the trend I'm seeing so far.

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    that guy in AZ Wrote:

    Even more alarming for Trump is the fact that yesterday's FOX poll shows him trailing Biden, Sanders, Warren, Harris, and Buttigieg, which means he's probably foaming at the mouth right now and screaming at his television.

    His own campaign polls show he is behind, and people have already been fired for it.

    The big shock waves are yet to come. If people thought trump was a pathological liar now, he'll has yet to kick into over drive. His lying will be at a scale that nobody will be able touch. He is likely to suggest that a democratic candidate is a pedophile, and\or commuted other unspeakable crimes. "I have classified evidence that the democratic candidate has raped little girls. I will be declassifying it very very soon"....

    It is not a matter what Trump can prove, its a matter of creating doubts in the minds of voters that false claims might be true.

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    It is hard to know what key labels and attacks he will repeat over and over. But imagine trump repeating this 10-20 times a day on twitter or whenever he speaks to the press

    "Democrats are criminals and they are losers"
    "Democrats are criminals and they are losers"
    "Democrats are criminals and they are losers"
    "Democrats are criminals and they are losers"
    "Democrats are criminals and they are losers"

    He will use it like he does "No obstruction, no colusion". No matter the lack support, he has made that statement 1000s of times. He says it every day. So when it comes to his campaign, he will have a campaign phrase that he will repeat to practically everybody he speaks to, over and over and over.

    "Democrats are criminals and they are losers"
    "Democrats are criminals and they are losers"
    "Democrats are criminals and they are losers"

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    Don't worry about the "polls"; start worrying about if he wins regardless, like last time. Then totally forget this country.

    XI and Kim and Putin are already preparing steps to curtail Trump; also the Middle East will become an huge issue; on top of that the "Trump economy as well "tariff" wars can't last; so I predict an downturn in everything in the near future.

    All of this will have its effects on the "election", so forget the "polls"

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    On a related note, Trump can't even do well when it comes to TV ratings, as evidenced by the poor ratings of the recent ABC interview with George Stephanopoulus.

    What do you suppose he'll tweet about THAT?

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/6/18/1865565/-ABC-News-learns-painful-lesson-Trump-s-a-TV-ratings-flop

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    that guy in AZ Wrote:

    On a related note, Trump can't even do well when it comes to TV ratings, as evidenced by the poor ratings of the recent ABC interview with George Stephanopoulus.

    What do you suppose he'll tweet about THAT?

    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/6/18/1865565/-ABC-News-learns-painful-lesson-Trump-s-a-TV-ratings-flop

    Yeah, leaks from the White House said Trump was "raging" that game shows that same night got better ratings. Trump is a very insecure man, and does not have coping skills to deal with the normal concept that often other people and events take center stage. Trump is able to handle giving the spot light to someone else for a few moments, much like handing the mic to someone to make a few brief comments, but he expects the to get the spotlight right back. One good example is that Trump can't handle being in the same room as little kids, because adults will focus their attention on the kids, and little kids don't give a flying frisbee who is. He can't even handle little kids getting more attention.

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    As I mentioned above, the majority of the polls in 2016 were actually accurate, but Trump won the electoral college due to razor thin wins in 4 states, and more than a little help from the Russians.

    Democrat strategist Stanley Greenberg recently predicted that Trump would really get spanked in 2020, and would only get 153 electoral votes, far below the 270 he would need to win. If you do the math, that would be 28.5 % of the total, making it a worse drubbing than Reagan's landslide victory in 1984.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2019/09/polling-expert-predicts-devastating-trump-2020-electoral-wipeout-rip-gop/?fbclid=IwAR0Od0KH1XzMPlJKX8rF0Gj3grr1-l5-PqKLoeKqZV_2IaPeTRbFaD5m3hE

    Greenberg was a consultant to both Bill Clinton and Al Gore, both of whom got more votes than their opponents. He also advised Tony Blair and hundreds of other candidates around the world.

    Trump's 2016 electoral college win was far from a landslide. In fact, he is actually close to the bottom of our past elections. If Greenberg's assessment is correct, Trump's electoral college defeat in 2020 would be the WORST in our country's history. The previous "low man on the totem pole" was John Quincy Adams in 1824, Although he lost both the popular vote and the electoral college vote, he became president due to a vote in the House of Representatives.

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/12/18/us/elections/donald-trump-electoral-college-popular-vote.html