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The Iran debacle

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    According to the Washington Post this morning, Iran’s supreme leader said that if the United States returned to the nuclear deal Tehran struck with world powers, then it could take part in negotiations along with the agreement’s other signatories. Lacking that, they are not willing to talk.

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    Yesterday, Iran's top diplomat said Thursday that any attack on his country over a drone-and-missile strike on Saudi Arabia's oil industry will result in "all-out war," further pushing up tensions across the Persian Gulf.

    https://azdailysun.com/news/national/iran-warns-of-all-out-war-if-attacked-for-saudi/article_1d46b302-9431-575b-a061-aa489810c0b8.html#utm_source=azdailysun.com&utm_campaign=%2Fnewsletter-templates%2Fbreaking&utm_medium=PostUp&utm_content=45a94b82f74e4877b12ff5f0b84f4d821d8882aa

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    I guess this country never has learned not to poke their noses into the middle east; it has been always been an mess since some idiots wrote an bible and an koran. But yeah I guess our leaders never studied history or understand that nothing on this planet is run by ghosts or "writers". But yeah all of this can't end well as long as you elect only "money hungry" idiots to be leader. Amen. Sorry people Jesus will never return, he's only an tiny bit of "dust" in the desert as well fantasy of the writers which are nothing but vibrations in the air around us.
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    Yesterday, it was announced that Trump is sending our troops to Saudi Arabia.

    Here's a key phrase from the conservative article posted below:

    "New sanctions were slapped on Iran, who is a state sponsor of terrorism. For the anti-Trump Left, this would be the best time to undercut our president by smearing him as a madman."

    No shit Sherlock.

    He IS a madman.

    https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2019/09/20/following-iranian-airstrikes-on-oilfields-trump-deploys-troops-to-saudi-arabia-n2553448

    Here's a few phrases from the New York Times article mentioned in the link above:

    "At the White House on Friday, Mr. Trump boasted that he could order a retaliatory strike “in one minute,” and boasted equally that his current restraint should be seen as a sign of strength and toughness."

    He also seemed to revel in his authority to launch a quick strike. Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office alongside the visiting prime minister of Australia, Scott Morrison, he said, “I could do it right here in front of you and that would be it.”

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/20/world/middleeast/trump-iran-saudi-arabia.html?campaign_id=60&instance_id=0&segment_id=17214&user_id=159c7cbe78fd0d5674a144924bf522f5®i_id=59075373ing-news

    If you don't think he's a madman, you're crazy.

    Iran, naturally, isn't taking kindly to Trump's latest action>

    The commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards warned that any country that attacks the Islamic republic will see its territory turn into the conflict's "main battlefield".

    "Whoever wants their land to become the main battlefield, go ahead," Guards commander Hossein Salami told a news conference in Tehran. "We will never allow any war to encroach upon Iran's territory."

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/09/saudi-oil-attacks-latest-updates-190916102800973.html

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    The latest: Now Trump sanctioned the Bank of Iran as well did sent troops to Saudia as well the Emirates. How nuts can you get. Guess who stepped out of the "nuke" agreement? If an middle east war develops, guess who is the instigator? Obama and Kerry are pulling the hair out of their heads in disgust. The only thing I hope that NATO does not gets involved, because no one attacked the US, so they don't have to give any support.

    Again: Everything Trump touches "dies"

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    The Associated Press published an excellent article this morning that needs to be posted in its entirely, since there are simply too many good points:

    https://tucson.com/opinion/national/national-opinion-ancient-wisdom-for-trump-s-iran-policy/article_9ac72f9e-5b2c-538a-bb56-1d8f69ec0176.html

    "The enemy gets a vote.” American military leaders are fond of using that line. Gen. James Mattis used it so often that it is sometimes attributed to him. In fact, it is a nugget of wisdom dating back to Sun Tzu, the Chinese military strategist, who counseled that one must “know the enemy.” It describes the central mistake of Donald Trump’s Iran policy.

    In confidential 2018 cables that were leaked this summer, Britain’s then-ambassador to Washington, Kim Darroch, wrote something that was obvious to most observers: President Trump pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal largely because “it was Obama’s deal” and had given little thought toward a “’day-after’ strategy.” Darroch also noted that Secretary of State Mike Pompeo tried to put some distance between himself and Trump on this issue, privately referring to the move as “the president’s decision.” But while the decision might have been made for domestic political reasons, it has unleashed serious geopolitical consequences.

    The Trump administration’s strategy, such as it is, appears to have been to double down on pressure on Iran, force other nations to abide by America’s unilateral sanctions, and bet that this would cause Iran to capitulate. But the goal of the pressure was never clearly outlined, so it seemed that the administration was trying to strangle the Iranians.

    Tehran’s initial reaction was restrained. It simply sought to bypass the United States. It continued to adhere to the deal and made efforts to trade with other countries. This failed. Because of the dollar’s centrality to the international financial system, the sanctions worked. Iran’s economy suffered a big blow, and its oil exports have plummeted. European countries, furious about the abuse of the dollar’s role, tried to create an alternative payments mechanism, but so far it has not succeeded.

    Iran’s next effort has been to demonstrate that there is a cost to this kind of maximum pressure. It has harassed ships in the Persian Gulf, reminding everyone that 20% of the world’s oil supply goes through that narrow body of water. It shot down an American drone, signaling to the Pentagon that it has the capacity to impede America’s intelligence and reconnaissance in the region. And now, Tehran — possibly using proxies and allies in the region — seems to be behind a precision attack on Saudi Arabia’s main oil processing facilities, a strike effective enough that it initially shut down half of the kingdom’s oil production.

    The message is clear: Hostilities with Iran would spill over throughout the Middle East and disrupt the global oil supply.

    Maximum pressure on Iran did not moderate its behavior or make it come crawling back to the table. Instead it provoked Tehran to retaliate.

    The status quo of sanctions is hard enough on Iran that it must feel it has less to lose by acting provocatively, even dangerously.

    There is also the reality of domestic politics within the Islamic Republic. The Iran deal was unpopular with hardliners in the United States, but it was also unpopular with hardliners in Tehran. Some wanted to impeach the lead negotiator, Foreign Minister Javad Zarif, just for shaking hands with Obama. Those who opposed the deal argued that Tehran was making major concessions — shipping away 98% of its enriched uranium, pouring concrete into its plutonium reactor — in return for promises that the U.S. would lift sanctions and allow Iran back into the global economy. They predicted that Washington would renege on its commitments.

    Once Trump pulled out of the deal, they claimed vindication.

    One line that Jim Mattis has in fact coined is about allies: “Nations with allies thrive, and nations without allies wither.” It is striking that America embarked on a new, risky strategy toward Iran with the support of few allies.

    Trump treats European allies poorly to begin with — it appears to be the main reason Mattis resigned as secretary of defense.

    They too have a vote and, far from helping, some are actively seeking to thwart America’s policies toward Iran. Even the United Arab Emirates, perhaps Saudi Arabia’s staunchest ally, has placed some distance between itself and Riyadh in recent months, getting out of what it believes is a failed intervention in Yemen.

    In “The Art of War,” Sun Tzu writes that victory is only possible with a leader who knows when to pick his battles and is prepared. Defeat is all but guaranteed with a leader who is reckless, mercurial and prideful.

    Timely analysis from the sixth century B.C.

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    Yes this country also still lives in the Romanov time. Just rake in the money and "bully" and "corrupt" that will work. The only hope I have that it ends as with the Romanov's. Sorry this country is doomed if it continues on the same path.

    As long as the "system" here stays as it is, and any "idiot" can become president without any restrictions or "laws" then of course this country is asking to become an dictatorship. So I don't give it much hope, because no one is doing anything about it and everything muddles on like it is just fine. I guess the people here are so used to "chaos" that they accept it as being normal. Corruption is here to stay ; it is so convenient and part of life here. Shaking my old head!

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    As of yesterday, the plan is to send four radar systems, a battery of Patriot missiles, and about 200 support personnel to bolster Saudi Arabia's defenses after the largest-ever attack on the kingdom's oil facilities this month.

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/09/saudi-oil-attacks-latest-updates-190916102800973.html