I have lunch on a fairly regular basis with an old guy (85) who still works as a substitute teacher. We generally have a lot of interesting and cordial conversations, but I try to stay away from politics because I know that he is a regular FOX viewer.
Somehow, the topic of abortion came up the other day.
He briefly mentioned the Republican fantasy that Democrats practice infanticide because they will sometimes just let a baby die after it was born.
I reminded him that both parties would like to see fewer abortion , but the Republicans were using the wrong approach because they are closing the clinics where women can get birth control. Obviously, if a woman is not pregnant, she will not want to have an abortion.
This afternoon, my curiosity got the best of me, so I looked up which states have had the largest decreases in abortions.
The best source for information about abortions is the Guttmacher Instittute. The article below was published in September, and here are a few key points:
Abortion restrictions were not the main driver of the decline in the U.S. abortion rate between 2011 and 2017. Rather, the decline in abortions appears to be related to declines in births and pregnancies overall.
The question of what is behind these trends has important policy implications, and the 2011–2017 period warrants particular attention because it coincided with an unprecedented wave of new abortion restrictions. During that time frame, 32 states enacted a total of 394 new restrictions, with the vast majority of these measures having taken effect (that is, they were not struck down by a court).
Between 2011 and 2017, the South had a net decline of 50 clinics, with 25 in Texas alone, and the Midwest had a net decline of 33 clinics, including nine each in Iowa, Michigan and Ohio. The West lost a net of seven clinics. By contrast, the Northeast added a net 59 clinics, mostly in New Jersey and New York.
While 32 states enacted 394 restrictions between 2011 and 2017, nearly every state had a lower abortion rate in 2017 than in 2011, regardless of whether it had restricted abortion access. Several states with new restrictions actually had abortion rate increases.
Notably, 57% of the 2011–2017 decline in the number of abortions nationwide happened in the 18 states and the District Columbia that did not adopt any new abortion restrictions. Similarly, there is no clear link, even indirectly, from new abortion restrictions to clinic closures to decreases in abortion rates. Among the 26 states and the District of Columbia that had a decline in clinics between 2011 and 2017, 24 states saw declines in their abortion rate (see Figure 3).1,2 However, 13 of the 15 states that added clinics also saw declines in their abortion rates, as did eight of the nine states where the number of clinics stayed the same.
Since 2011, contraception has become more accessible, as most private health insurance plans are now required by the Affordable Care Act (ACA) to cover contraceptives without out-of-pocket costs.
In October, the Supreme Court agreed to hear a challenge to a Louisiana law that its opponents say would leave the state with only one doctor in a single clinic authorized to provide abortions. The case is the court’s first on abortion since President Trump’s appointments of two justices shifted the court to the right, and the court’s ruling, expected in June, could thrust the abortion issue into the center of the presidential campaign.
We have relatives who voted for Trump "because he was the only one who opposed abortion". Just for the record, though, Trump was "pro choice" for most of his adult life, and did not become "pro life" until 2011, when he was considering running for president in 2012.