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I called it a couple days (maybe not here, can't recall). My perception of the whole thing is that Trump will use "adoption" issue as the reason for lifting Russian sanctions. Trump's BS be something like this:
"I have negotiated a great deal, perhaps the greatest deal in US history, I am going to save millions and millions of Russian children who want to come and live in the US. The details are still being worked out, but don't worry, I'll handle everything so that its an amazing deal. I always make great deals, nobody makes better deals than me, ask anybody, and they'll tell you: 'he makes the best deals, great deals all over the world, so great you can't even imagine'"
I am anti-conspiracy type person, but when it comes to Trump I do believe Putin has something on Trump thus Putin has poker hand of 4 aces, and 2 kings, compared to trump's hand of worthless cards without a single pair. However, Putin being a smart man is not simply threatening trump, He likely made promises to Trump that will increase Trumps wealth and power if they work together as a team. Threat, plus reward = huge Trump profits $$$$.
Bottomline, Trump will lift some, if not all, Russian sanctions. IMHO, chances are close to 100% that this will happen. If Trump can do it without congress, it will happen 110%.