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Jeff Greenwald, Politico: How Iowa Hijacked Our Democracy
"The first symbolic hurdle of the presidential campaign is anti-democratic, meaningless, even harmful."
I saw the Greenwald's article in the DHub News and Opinions and clicked on it. It supports much of my thinking that Iowa has been elevated to some exalted status, a media circus if you like, for being the first state to select presidential candidates. It is not a primary state, and the caucus process limits participation to just a few of a hardy bunch of faithful voters. Taking 2008, for example, an election year when there was lots of excitement in both parties, but low participation:
“In percentage terms, Iowa’s turnout was hardly earthshaking—only 1 in 6 of the eligible adults participated. The Democratic winner, Barack Obama, received the votes of just 4 percent of Iowa’s eligible voters. Mike Huckabee, the Republican victor, attracted the support of a mere 2 percent of Iowa adults,”
Every four years there is a media frenzy around Iowa, but for what...just 2 to 4 percent of the eligible voters at best? And who are those voters? Iowa is "94 percent white, 2.8 percent black and 5.5 percent Hispanic, making it one of the five whitest states in the nation. It’s also the fourth oldest state in the union." Furthermore, "some 57 percent of GOP caucus-goers consider themselves “evangelicals.”
When the results of the Iowa caucus become known, we should keep those statistics in mind...but if you are a Republican don't count your chickens until they are hatched. From Wikipedia, in 2012, "Initial results reported that Mitt Romney beat out Rick Santorum by just 8 votes, but when the final results came out two weeks later Rick Santorum secured the victory over Romney by a margin of 34 votes with Ron Paul in a strong 3rd. Results were certified by the Caucus but not by the Republican party who declared it a split decision due to missing reports from 8 precincts, but who later certified the caucus as a win for Santorum. The caucus winner changed yet again when the Iowa delegate totals were finally determined giving Ron Paul the win along with several other states that same weekend."
Maybe you should read that paragraph again to make sure you are not in some daze. This isn't a 3rd world country. This is Iowa. The craziness of the 2012 ballots and ever changing victors tell me that when the Republican results are announced don't believe them. There is lots of manipulation that still has to be done with those secret ballots.