Forum Thread

WWI 100 Years Later: What If Franz Ferdinand Wasn't Assassinated?

Reply to ThreadDisplaying 2 Posts
  • Center Left
    Independent
    Denton, TX
    Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        
    June 28, 1914. That was a watershed moment in history, as Stephen King would say. The day that kickstarted the supposed "war to end all wars", better known today as World War 1.

    On June 28th, 1914 Austro-Hungarian Archduke Franz Ferdinand was assassinated by Gavrilo Princip, a 19-year-old Bosnian Serb, in a chance encounter made by an errant turn down Franz Josef Street in modern day Sarajevo. This kill by Princip started a series of events and decisions that dominoed the globe into World War I.

    Many have guessed at what the world would be like today, if that 'watershed' moment hadn't of happened. What if Ferdinand left Sarajevo directly after his speech, instead of hanging around? What if Princip would have been caught in the failed assassination attempt BEFORE the successful one, only several minutes prior? What if? Would WWI not have happened? Or was it just this catalyst that happened to do it, while another would have just as likely happened if that one didn't? Were global tensions so tight and high during the summer of 1914 that a world war was inevitable no matter what?

    Thinking of the concept of the 'Butterfly Effect', I gotta think that even if another 'watershed' type occurrence would have launched the world to war, that the world today would look very different, regardless of the big war to end all wars still inevitably taking place. Perhaps different lines would have been drawn in the sand. Maybe slightly different alliances would have been made/upheld. Maybe the actions of the few that shaped the world today (those in command) would have slightly different tempers flaring, on slightly different timelines, and who knows? Perhaps Germany wouldn't have been pushed to the brink AS much, leaving the chance for WWII a little less likely. Or more likely. Really hard to say. But interesting, I think to consider.

    What if? That's what I want to talk about. It's 100 years later, almost to the very day... C'mon history buffs, dazzle me with your if-then logic. What if Gavrilo Princip DIDN'T assassinate Franz Ferdinand on the day of June 28th, 1914? What do you think the world would look like today? Better, worse or likely and mostly the same?
  • Independent
    Ft.myers, FL
    Are you sure you want to delete this post?
        
    sbfriedman Wrote: June 28, 1914. That was a watershed moment in history, as Stephen King would say. The day that kickstarted the supposed "war to end all wars", better known today as World War 1.

    On June 28th, 1914 Austro-Hungarian Archduke Franz Ferdinand was assassinated by Gavrilo Princip, a 19-year-old Bosnian Serb, in a chance encounter made by an errant turn down Franz Josef Street in modern day Sarajevo. This kill by Princip started a series of events and decisions that dominoed the globe into World War I.

    Many have guessed at what the world would be like today, if that 'watershed' moment hadn't of happened. What if Ferdinand left Sarajevo directly after his speech, instead of hanging around? What if Princip would have been caught in the failed assassination attempt BEFORE the successful one, only several minutes prior? What if? Would WWI not have happened? Or was it just this catalyst that happened to do it, while another would have just as likely happened if that one didn't? Were global tensions so tight and high during the summer of 1914 that a world war was inevitable no matter what?

    Thinking of the concept of the 'Butterfly Effect', I gotta think that even if another 'watershed' type occurrence would have launched the world to war, that the world today would look very different, regardless of the big war to end all wars still inevitably taking place. Perhaps different lines would have been drawn in the sand. Maybe slightly different alliances would have been made/upheld. Maybe the actions of the few that shaped the world today (those in command) would have slightly different tempers flaring, on slightly different timelines, and who knows? Perhaps Germany wouldn't have been pushed to the brink AS much, leaving the chance for WWII a little less likely. Or more likely. Really hard to say. But interesting, I think to consider.

    What if? That's what I want to talk about. It's 100 years later, almost to the very day... C'mon history buffs, dazzle me with your if-then logic. What if Gavrilo Princip DIDN'T assassinate Franz Ferdinand on the day of June 28th, 1914? What do you think the world would look like today? Better, worse or likely and mostly the same?
    Yes a very good question ( and a good thread!) I'm a simple person thus have a simple answer: It is as always "cause" and "effect". The problem with humans is that often they start something but seldom look at its effect or end result, like what snowballed this WWI happening. The same is the case nowadays. I've got the idea that our government seldom look at its effect around the world to use drones etc. The end result is now already coming into the picture; they hate our guts even more.
    Handing out money and weapons all over the place will also have an end result. "Greed" will also have an end result. etc etc.
    Therefore I don't know what they teach in schools nowadays; if you shoot someone than the end result is life in jail. Is n't time our politicians look at the end result of their actions?.