Are you sure you want to delete this post?
jamesn Wrote: Amc yeah, I'll bet. I'll bet that your predictions, like everyone elses predictions, about the results of the 2016 elections, will have about the same accuracy as the average bracket for March Madness.
Here's an example of March Madness accuracy; the Billion Dollar Bracket contest which accepted 15 million brackets, and after the first round every bracket had been knocked out. That's zero out of 15 million and that's after the first round only.
Remember a couple of weeks ago when jared posted a poll from well before the 2008 election and it showed Hillary with a commanding lead and Obama didn't even register in the poll?
I would say that your prediction would be at least that accurate.
Hillary is the BIG favorite right now just like she was before 2008. At this point, 2 1/2 years out, the polls and predictions mean nothing. They are just something to talk about.
“your predictions, like everyone elses predictions, about the results of the 2016 elections, will have about the same accuracy as the average bracket for March Madness”
Except for me. I stood alone saying Trump could win because he used what should have been Hilary’s campaign: “Lots of good paying jobs and make America Great Again.”
His biggest asset is his evil dictator like charisma. His followers are have no control over being compelled to support him regardless of what he says or does.
On Oct 28th 2016 I posted here the case for Trump winning because the polls were wrong. People were lying to the pollsters because they were ashamed to tell they supported Trump. The case is even more so now. Polls have to be wrong for the same sense of embarrassment over Trump now as in 16. If Biden gets the nomination there is no chance of his moderate health care plan winning over Trumps promise to give healthcare to everybody whether they could afford it or not. Biden is a loser on jobs unless he throws Obama under the bus saying good paying jobs are needed. Only Bernie or Warren can win because Trump will have to declare and show how his healthcare to everybody regardless of ability to pay will work. Bernie or Elizabeth or Trump are the possibilities. Anybody else and Trump can win.